RELATION BETWEEN PRE-MONSOON SOIL TEMPERATURE AND MONSOON RAINFALL IN A TROPICAL STATION

Prediction of monsoon rainfall

Prediction of monsoon rainfall for a mesoscale Indian catchment based on stochastical downscaling and objective circulation patterns E. Zehe, A. K. Singh, and A. Bardossy Institute of Geoecology, University of Potsdam, Germany Civil Engineering Department, Nirma University of Science and Technology (NU) Ahmedabad 382 481, India Institute of Hydraulic Engineering, University of Stuttgart, German...

Indian Monsoon Rainfall

Advancing Indian Monsoon Rainfall Predictions

Despite great strides made in seasonal climate forecasting using dynamical models, skill in predicting the Indian monsoon is woefully poor. Our analysis of the reasons for failure exposes a flaw in the popular design of dynamical prediction systems. The approach of driving atmospheric models with a projected ocean surface temperature presupposes Indian monsoon variability to be a consequence so...

Relationship between ocean mean temperatures and Indian summer monsoon rainfall

M. M. Ali,* P. V. Nagamani,1 N. Sharma,1 R. T. Venu Gopal,2 M. Rajeevan,3 G. J. Goni4 and Mark A. Bourassa5 1Department of Space, National Remote Sensing Centre, Hyderabad, India 2Ministry of Earth Sciences, Indian National Center for Ocean Information Services, Hyderabad, India 3Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, India 4Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, National Oceanic...

Consistent increase in Indian monsoon rainfall

This discussion paper is/has been under review for the journal Earth System Dynamics (ESD). Please refer to the corresponding final paper in ESD if available. Abstract The possibility of an impact of global warming on the Indian monsoon is of critical importance for the large population of this region. Future projections within the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP-3) showed a...